BUENAVENTURA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31019. 690 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 115711.43054 / (1 + e^(-0.15665(t - 41.61246))) | 115711.43054 | 0.15665 | 41.61246 | 0.99933 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 97824.57970 / (1 + e^(-0.15584(t - 41.66737))) | 97824.57970 | 0.15584 | 41.66737 | 0.99932 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 15842.88666 / (1 + e^(-0.16188(t - 41.30029))) | 15842.88666 | 0.16188 | 41.30029 | 0.99936 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 775.54144 / (1 + e^(-0.15710(t - 41.11961))) | 775.54144 | 0.15710 | 41.11961 | 0.99904 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 1078.33119 / (1 + e^(-0.16717(t - 41.35740))) | 1078.33119 | 0.16717 | 41.35740 | 0.99947 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 191.90176 / (1 + e^(-0.09308(t - 45.20351))) | 191.90176 | 0.09308 | 45.20351 | 0.98755 |
| Validos | y(t) = 114442.45948 / (1 + e^(-0.15667(t - 41.61150))) | 114442.45948 | 0.15667 | 41.61150 | 0.99933 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 689.60137 / (1 + e^(-0.15216(t - 40.48884))) | 689.60137 | 0.15216 | 40.48884 | 0.99939 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 28 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.7% | 770 | 676 | 78 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 759 | 11 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.8% | 3,194 | 2,814 | 322 | 20 | 30 | 8 | 3,156 | 35 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 10.4% | 12,012 | 10,116 | 1,692 | 84 | 94 | 26 | 11,892 | 90 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 24.7% | 28,559 | 23,951 | 4,103 | 201 | 249 | 55 | 28,255 | 199 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 40.7% | 47,136 | 39,795 | 6,475 | 337 | 457 | 72 | 46,607 | 315 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 61.2% | 70,844 | 59,739 | 9,844 | 492 | 668 | 101 | 70,075 | 444 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 75.8% | 87,794 | 73,997 | 12,245 | 594 | 836 | 122 | 86,836 | 537 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 84.3% | 97,550 | 82,172 | 13,644 | 656 | 936 | 142 | 96,472 | 592 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.4% | 107,022 | 90,313 | 14,828 | 719 | 1,010 | 152 | 105,860 | 642 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.2% | 111,331 | 93,965 | 15,414 | 747 | 1,045 | 160 | 110,126 | 664 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.1% | 114,752 | 96,982 | 15,763 | 773 | 1,073 | 161 | 113,518 | 684 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.7% | 115,381 | 97,563 | 15,806 | 775 | 1,076 | 161 | 114,144 | 688 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.7% | 115,381 | 97,563 | 15,806 | 775 | 1,076 | 161 | 114,144 | 688 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.7% | 115,381 | 97,563 | 15,806 | 775 | 1,076 | 161 | 114,144 | 688 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 115,778 | 97,881 | 15,849 | 776 | 1,079 | 193 | 114,506 | 690 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex