BOLIVAR (VALLE)
Municipio code 31016. 47 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 7933.69946 / (1 + e^(-0.21091(t - 34.69783))) | 7933.69946 | 0.21091 | 34.69783 | 0.99850 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2934.10199 / (1 + e^(-0.19358(t - 35.02323))) | 2934.10199 | 0.19358 | 35.02323 | 0.99877 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4810.88056 / (1 + e^(-0.22413(t - 34.50991))) | 4810.88056 | 0.22413 | 34.50991 | 0.99824 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 98.97318 / (1 + e^(-0.19897(t - 35.20367))) | 98.97318 | 0.19897 | 35.20367 | 0.99806 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 73.00963 / (1 + e^(-0.21439(t - 35.05372))) | 73.00963 | 0.21439 | 35.05372 | 0.99890 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.98646 / (1 + e^(-0.12876(t - 33.94052))) | 16.98646 | 0.12876 | 33.94052 | 0.98868 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7843.71470 / (1 + e^(-0.21121(t - 34.69705))) | 7843.71470 | 0.21121 | 34.69705 | 0.99849 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.05652 / (1 + e^(-0.15623(t - 32.39450))) | 47.05652 | 0.15623 | 32.39450 | 0.99593 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.6% | 49 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 60 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 6.3% | 498 | 193 | 293 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 494 | 9 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.1% | 878 | 323 | 531 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 865 | 11 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.7% | 1,879 | 723 | 1,111 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1,857 | 16 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 41.3% | 3,281 | 1,186 | 2,018 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 3,242 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 76.1% | 6,039 | 2,142 | 3,760 | 72 | 54 | 11 | 5,974 | 37 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 88.5% | 7,022 | 2,499 | 4,360 | 86 | 64 | 13 | 6,945 | 42 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.8% | 7,283 | 2,658 | 4,453 | 90 | 68 | 14 | 7,201 | 44 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.8% | 7,685 | 2,863 | 4,642 | 94 | 72 | 14 | 7,599 | 46 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,936 | 2,934 | 4,813 | 99 | 73 | 17 | 7,846 | 47 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex