BUGA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31022. 339 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 70424.86431 / (1 + e^(-0.14879(t - 41.71158))) | 70424.86431 | 0.14879 | 41.71158 | 0.99833 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 44516.22908 / (1 + e^(-0.14765(t - 41.44980))) | 44516.22908 | 0.14765 | 41.44980 | 0.99825 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 24278.18111 / (1 + e^(-0.15149(t - 42.19275))) | 24278.18111 | 0.15149 | 42.19275 | 0.99834 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 982.34752 / (1 + e^(-0.14314(t - 42.01036))) | 982.34752 | 0.14314 | 42.01036 | 0.99850 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 564.73965 / (1 + e^(-0.15425(t - 40.87612))) | 564.73965 | 0.15425 | 40.87612 | 0.99835 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 82.58655 / (1 + e^(-0.14931(t - 40.51606))) | 82.58655 | 0.14931 | 40.51606 | 0.99453 |
| Validos | y(t) = 69777.57271 / (1 + e^(-0.14875(t - 41.71990))) | 69777.57271 | 0.14875 | 41.71990 | 0.99832 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 338.22123 / (1 + e^(-0.14015(t - 40.76825))) | 338.22123 | 0.14015 | 40.76825 | 0.99808 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 223 | 127 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.3% | 1,589 | 1,061 | 488 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 1,572 | 14 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.9% | 7,011 | 4,675 | 2,142 | 114 | 69 | 11 | 6,931 | 46 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 26.0% | 18,370 | 12,091 | 5,844 | 253 | 159 | 23 | 18,188 | 103 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 41.4% | 29,232 | 19,216 | 9,333 | 397 | 254 | 32 | 28,946 | 156 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.1% | 42,439 | 27,109 | 14,340 | 587 | 344 | 59 | 42,036 | 212 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 76.2% | 53,799 | 34,097 | 18,459 | 726 | 451 | 66 | 53,282 | 261 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 83.8% | 59,150 | 37,419 | 20,352 | 816 | 491 | 72 | 58,587 | 285 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 88.5% | 62,486 | 39,555 | 21,481 | 868 | 509 | 73 | 61,904 | 300 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 92.1% | 64,978 | 41,269 | 22,202 | 903 | 530 | 74 | 64,374 | 311 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 96.6% | 68,137 | 43,107 | 23,458 | 947 | 549 | 76 | 67,512 | 325 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.2% | 69,290 | 43,781 | 23,908 | 969 | 554 | 78 | 68,658 | 331 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.3% | 70,093 | 44,283 | 24,191 | 978 | 560 | 81 | 69,452 | 335 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.4% | 70,124 | 44,307 | 24,198 | 978 | 560 | 81 | 69,483 | 336 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.6% | 70,298 | 44,424 | 24,249 | 981 | 562 | 82 | 69,654 | 338 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 70,568 | 44,607 | 24,328 | 984 | 566 | 83 | 69,919 | 339 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex