ARGELIA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31013. 20 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3004.68868 / (1 + e^(-0.14987(t - 39.01304))) | 3004.68868 | 0.14987 | 39.01304 | 0.99415 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 735.89051 / (1 + e^(-0.14542(t - 37.54827))) | 735.89051 | 0.14542 | 37.54827 | 0.99334 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2189.57257 / (1 + e^(-0.15211(t - 39.47124))) | 2189.57257 | 0.15211 | 39.47124 | 0.99425 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.06935 / (1 + e^(-0.14455(t - 38.44809))) | 41.06935 | 0.14455 | 38.44809 | 0.99022 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 31.07284 / (1 + e^(-0.15786(t - 42.25414))) | 31.07284 | 0.15786 | 42.25414 | 0.99183 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00071 / (1 + e^(-0.55738(t - 35.69540))) | 7.00071 | 0.55738 | 35.69540 | 0.99988 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2966.62923 / (1 + e^(-0.14969(t - 38.99016))) | 2966.62923 | 0.14969 | 38.99016 | 0.99413 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.01970 / (1 + e^(-0.13520(t - 34.97998))) | 20.01970 | 0.13520 | 34.97998 | 0.99434 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 24 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.6% | 167 | 64 | 100 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 166 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.4% | 612 | 177 | 422 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 608 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 36.1% | 1,084 | 325 | 730 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1,074 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 54.5% | 1,634 | 434 | 1,159 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 1,615 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 61.4% | 1,841 | 467 | 1,328 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 1,818 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.7% | 2,181 | 559 | 1,564 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2,155 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,000 | 735 | 2,186 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 2,962 | 20 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex