ANSERMANUEVO (VALLE)
Municipio code 31010. 64 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 9522.82171 / (1 + e^(-0.23173(t - 38.35105))) | 9522.82171 | 0.23173 | 38.35105 | 0.99968 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3510.08669 / (1 + e^(-0.22769(t - 38.77554))) | 3510.08669 | 0.22769 | 38.77554 | 0.99969 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5738.77935 / (1 + e^(-0.23493(t - 38.09204))) | 5738.77935 | 0.23493 | 38.09204 | 0.99965 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 151.91673 / (1 + e^(-0.22787(t - 37.88143))) | 151.91673 | 0.22787 | 37.88143 | 0.99891 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 97.98358 / (1 + e^(-0.25302(t - 38.51898))) | 97.98358 | 0.25302 | 38.51898 | 0.99938 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 24.04499 / (1 + e^(-0.19857(t - 41.28417))) | 24.04499 | 0.19857 | 41.28417 | 0.99602 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9400.78248 / (1 + e^(-0.23173(t - 38.34217))) | 9400.78248 | 0.23173 | 38.34217 | 0.99968 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 63.96338 / (1 + e^(-0.19733(t - 37.04005))) | 63.96338 | 0.19733 | 37.04005 | 0.99934 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.0% | 94 | 30 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.6% | 815 | 309 | 484 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 805 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 28.0% | 2,667 | 903 | 1,689 | 47 | 22 | 6 | 2,639 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.2% | 5,257 | 1,867 | 3,234 | 91 | 56 | 9 | 5,192 | 39 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 76.7% | 7,307 | 2,611 | 4,491 | 117 | 75 | 13 | 7,219 | 50 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.9% | 8,755 | 3,195 | 5,311 | 137 | 91 | 21 | 8,643 | 58 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.2% | 9,254 | 3,418 | 5,570 | 146 | 96 | 24 | 9,134 | 61 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 99.6% | 9,490 | 3,496 | 5,720 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,368 | 63 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.6% | 9,490 | 3,496 | 5,720 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,368 | 63 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,524 | 3,510 | 5,740 | 152 | 98 | 24 | 9,402 | 64 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex