ZAPATOCA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27223. 25 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5853.97579 / (1 + e^(-0.34916(t - 33.36018))) | 5853.97579 | 0.34916 | 33.36018 | 0.99672 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1339.62870 / (1 + e^(-0.32889(t - 33.54947))) | 1339.62870 | 0.32889 | 33.54947 | 0.99634 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4377.22886 / (1 + e^(-0.35650(t - 33.30805))) | 4377.22886 | 0.35650 | 33.30805 | 0.99667 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 99.11464 / (1 + e^(-0.31809(t - 33.32383))) | 99.11464 | 0.31809 | 33.32383 | 0.99685 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 30.01288 / (1 + e^(-0.42632(t - 32.55083))) | 30.01288 | 0.42632 | 32.55083 | 0.99960 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 5815.95148 / (1 + e^(-0.34859(t - 33.35992))) | 5815.95148 | 0.34859 | 33.35992 | 0.99669 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.02793 / (1 + e^(-0.33999(t - 33.01472))) | 25.02793 | 0.33999 | 33.01472 | 0.99748 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.7% | 509 | 91 | 412 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 509 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.3% | 1,305 | 330 | 943 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1,299 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 48.5% | 2,838 | 607 | 2,163 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 2,817 | 13 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 96.0% | 5,615 | 1,252 | 4,234 | 92 | 29 | 8 | 5,578 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,847 | 1,338 | 4,372 | 99 | 30 | 8 | 5,809 | 25 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex