VILLANUEVA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27221. 21 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5474.05456 / (1 + e^(-0.28907(t - 39.34286))) | 5474.05456 | 0.28907 | 39.34286 | 0.99720 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1004.00913 / (1 + e^(-0.30133(t - 39.70878))) | 1004.00913 | 0.30133 | 39.70878 | 0.99618 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4344.95173 / (1 + e^(-0.28602(t - 39.24771))) | 4344.95173 | 0.28602 | 39.24771 | 0.99735 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 83.04987 / (1 + e^(-0.39247(t - 39.98746))) | 83.04987 | 0.39247 | 39.98746 | 0.99662 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 36.03132 / (1 + e^(-0.27964(t - 38.80687))) | 36.03132 | 0.27964 | 38.80687 | 0.99494 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.01054 / (1 + e^(-0.20675(t - 45.03583))) | 6.01054 | 0.20675 | 45.03583 | 0.98768 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5432.04452 / (1 + e^(-0.28928(t - 39.34235))) | 5432.04452 | 0.28928 | 39.34235 | 0.99720 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 21.01791 / (1 + e^(-0.28482(t - 39.15181))) | 21.01791 | 0.28482 | 39.15181 | 0.99714 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.2% | 283 | 27 | 255 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.2% | 723 | 151 | 555 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 716 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.5% | 1,012 | 179 | 814 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1,005 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 41.3% | 2,261 | 375 | 1,839 | 29 | 16 | 2 | 2,243 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.3% | 4,668 | 841 | 3,719 | 73 | 32 | 3 | 4,633 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 94.3% | 5,159 | 971 | 4,070 | 81 | 34 | 3 | 5,122 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,470 | 1,003 | 4,342 | 83 | 36 | 6 | 5,428 | 21 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex