AGUADA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27004. 5 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1021.32967 / (1 + e^(-0.16342(t - 33.05637))) | 1021.32967 | 0.16342 | 33.05637 | 0.98400 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 144.27709 / (1 + e^(-0.15029(t - 31.12008))) | 144.27709 | 0.15029 | 31.12008 | 0.98103 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 859.99940 / (1 + e^(-0.16611(t - 33.38918))) | 859.99940 | 0.16611 | 33.38918 | 0.98407 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11.01368 / (1 + e^(-0.24519(t - 35.42420))) | 11.01368 | 0.24519 | 35.42420 | 0.98808 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3.98457 / (1 + e^(-0.90373(t - 22.82314))) | 3.98457 | 0.90373 | 22.82314 | 0.98412 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.58774(t - 31.49954))) | 2.00000 | 9.58774 | 31.49954 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1015.33414 / (1 + e^(-0.16339(t - 33.10463))) | 1015.33414 | 0.16339 | 33.10463 | 0.98388 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 5.01111 / (1 + e^(-0.14198(t - 30.77343))) | 5.01111 | 0.14198 | 30.77343 | 0.98130 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 7.9% | 81 | 13 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 30.8% | 314 | 59 | 251 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 311 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 30.8% | 314 | 59 | 251 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 311 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 55.4% | 565 | 86 | 467 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 559 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.4% | 565 | 86 | 467 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 559 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,019 | 144 | 858 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1,013 | 5 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex