VETAS (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27219. 5 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1083.67086 / (1 + e^(-0.28856(t - 35.62856))) | 1083.67086 | 0.28856 | 35.62856 | 0.99236 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 62.09428 / (1 + e^(-0.23499(t - 32.80557))) | 62.09428 | 0.23499 | 32.80557 | 0.98995 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 999.49805 / (1 + e^(-0.29731(t - 35.84368))) | 999.49805 | 0.29731 | 35.84368 | 0.99264 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 15.02400 / (1 + e^(-0.26018(t - 32.94851))) | 15.02400 | 0.26018 | 32.94851 | 0.98766 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.00943 / (1 + e^(-0.33300(t - 35.07273))) | 7.00943 | 0.33300 | 35.07273 | 0.99032 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 1076.66207 / (1 + e^(-0.28834(t - 35.63265))) | 1076.66207 | 0.28834 | 35.63265 | 0.99236 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 5.00939 / (1 + e^(-0.20488(t - 32.99214))) | 5.00939 | 0.20488 | 32.99214 | 0.98963 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.0% | 54 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 27.3% | 295 | 26 | 261 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 293 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 27.3% | 295 | 26 | 261 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 293 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 74.5% | 806 | 54 | 732 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 800 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,082 | 62 | 998 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1,075 | 5 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex