VELEZ (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27220. 52 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11367.39136 / (1 + e^(-0.18487(t - 32.17904))) | 11367.39136 | 0.18487 | 32.17904 | 0.99684 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3839.82126 / (1 + e^(-0.18572(t - 31.60572))) | 3839.82126 | 0.18572 | 31.60572 | 0.99591 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7263.03444 / (1 + e^(-0.18484(t - 32.48826))) | 7263.03444 | 0.18484 | 32.48826 | 0.99725 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 152.57102 / (1 + e^(-0.18241(t - 32.03823))) | 152.57102 | 0.18241 | 32.03823 | 0.99417 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 99.80202 / (1 + e^(-0.19896(t - 31.92559))) | 99.80202 | 0.19896 | 31.92559 | 0.99739 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.98986 / (1 + e^(-0.56405(t - 31.45554))) | 11.98986 | 0.56405 | 31.45554 | 0.99395 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11255.62816 / (1 + e^(-0.18464(t - 32.18334))) | 11255.62816 | 0.18464 | 32.18334 | 0.99683 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 51.90231 / (1 + e^(-0.17387(t - 31.79626))) | 51.90231 | 0.17387 | 31.79626 | 0.99726 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 96 | 55 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 19.5% | 2,221 | 793 | 1,378 | 29 | 19 | 2 | 2,200 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 36.2% | 4,125 | 1,504 | 2,527 | 56 | 36 | 2 | 4,087 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 62.9% | 7,167 | 2,538 | 4,452 | 103 | 64 | 10 | 7,093 | 33 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 74.9% | 8,535 | 2,965 | 5,370 | 112 | 77 | 11 | 8,447 | 39 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 89.0% | 10,141 | 3,417 | 6,487 | 134 | 91 | 12 | 10,038 | 46 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.2% | 10,273 | 3,422 | 6,613 | 134 | 92 | 12 | 10,169 | 47 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.7% | 10,908 | 3,673 | 6,980 | 146 | 97 | 12 | 10,799 | 50 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.7% | 10,908 | 3,673 | 6,980 | 146 | 97 | 12 | 10,799 | 50 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.2% | 11,185 | 3,763 | 7,161 | 151 | 98 | 12 | 11,075 | 51 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,393 | 3,851 | 7,277 | 153 | 100 | 12 | 11,281 | 52 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex