VALLE DE SAN JOSE (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27217. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4200.60114 / (1 + e^(-0.19518(t - 42.37491))) | 4200.60114 | 0.19518 | 42.37491 | 0.99932 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 863.87833 / (1 + e^(-0.23170(t - 42.62106))) | 863.87833 | 0.23170 | 42.62106 | 0.99937 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3267.71057 / (1 + e^(-0.18669(t - 42.29685))) | 3267.71057 | 0.18669 | 42.29685 | 0.99908 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.01055 / (1 + e^(-0.20159(t - 40.11473))) | 49.01055 | 0.20159 | 40.11473 | 0.99925 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.99074 / (1 + e^(-0.33221(t - 45.48796))) | 15.99074 | 0.33221 | 45.48796 | 0.99757 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00812 / (1 + e^(-0.13175(t - 45.93149))) | 4.00812 | 0.13175 | 45.93149 | 0.98226 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4180.59418 / (1 + e^(-0.19505(t - 42.35793))) | 4180.59418 | 0.19505 | 42.35793 | 0.99933 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.01846 / (1 + e^(-0.16498(t - 40.81994))) | 17.01846 | 0.16498 | 40.81994 | 0.99839 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.9% | 78 | 21 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.9% | 78 | 21 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.8% | 411 | 32 | 372 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 410 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 15.8% | 665 | 72 | 582 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 664 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.9% | 1,467 | 286 | 1,154 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1,463 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 54.8% | 2,303 | 495 | 1,770 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2,297 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 80.2% | 3,369 | 695 | 2,615 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 3,353 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 93.5% | 3,924 | 821 | 3,038 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 3,906 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.5% | 3,924 | 821 | 3,038 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 3,906 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,199 | 864 | 3,266 | 49 | 16 | 4 | 4,179 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex