TONA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27211. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4119.87339 / (1 + e^(-0.14986(t - 44.54420))) | 4119.87339 | 0.14986 | 44.54420 | 0.99552 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 638.16449 / (1 + e^(-0.14465(t - 43.34351))) | 638.16449 | 0.14465 | 43.34351 | 0.99400 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3387.54962 / (1 + e^(-0.15123(t - 44.80413))) | 3387.54962 | 0.15123 | 44.80413 | 0.99562 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 46.01527 / (1 + e^(-0.15485(t - 42.74693))) | 46.01527 | 0.15485 | 42.74693 | 0.99405 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 42.03249 / (1 + e^(-0.16619(t - 42.66096))) | 42.03249 | 0.16619 | 42.66096 | 0.99593 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.01504 / (1 + e^(-0.14895(t - 50.64553))) | 6.01504 | 0.14895 | 50.64553 | 0.99180 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4071.83473 / (1 + e^(-0.14977(t - 44.55617))) | 4071.83473 | 0.14977 | 44.55617 | 0.99551 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.00909 / (1 + e^(-0.14939(t - 43.05271))) | 18.00909 | 0.14939 | 43.05271 | 0.99568 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.6% | 107 | 11 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 104 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.8% | 775 | 150 | 608 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 766 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 33.4% | 1,375 | 247 | 1,090 | 21 | 16 | 1 | 1,358 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 55.9% | 2,301 | 393 | 1,852 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 2,273 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 55.9% | 2,301 | 393 | 1,852 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 2,273 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.3% | 3,348 | 504 | 2,763 | 39 | 38 | 4 | 3,306 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.1% | 3,584 | 544 | 2,954 | 42 | 40 | 4 | 3,540 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,116 | 638 | 3,384 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 4,068 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex