SURATA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27208. 13 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2490.45900 / (1 + e^(-0.23400(t - 45.23005))) | 2490.45900 | 0.23400 | 45.23005 | 0.99524 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 451.78625 / (1 + e^(-0.22858(t - 44.30633))) | 451.78625 | 0.22858 | 44.30633 | 0.99596 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1982.61072 / (1 + e^(-0.23540(t - 45.46951))) | 1982.61072 | 0.23540 | 45.46951 | 0.99490 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 35.03551 / (1 + e^(-0.26460(t - 43.65822))) | 35.03551 | 0.26460 | 43.65822 | 0.99716 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 19.03562 / (1 + e^(-0.24851(t - 46.13708))) | 19.03562 | 0.24851 | 46.13708 | 0.99445 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.72389(t - 41.50042))) | 2.00000 | 9.72389 | 41.50042 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2469.42599 / (1 + e^(-0.23385(t - 45.22729))) | 2469.42599 | 0.23385 | 45.22729 | 0.99523 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 13.03321 / (1 + e^(-0.16170(t - 42.06496))) | 13.03321 | 0.16170 | 42.06496 | 0.99269 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.7% | 18 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.3% | 82 | 24 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.8% | 418 | 88 | 321 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 415 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 16.8% | 418 | 88 | 321 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 415 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 43.3% | 1,077 | 209 | 840 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1,068 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 62.6% | 1,556 | 318 | 1,198 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1,543 | 9 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,486 | 451 | 1,979 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2,465 | 13 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex