SIMACOTA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27196. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4490.56020 / (1 + e^(-0.19993(t - 42.25621))) | 4490.56020 | 0.19993 | 42.25621 | 0.99521 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 983.12664 / (1 + e^(-0.22896(t - 40.92903))) | 983.12664 | 0.22896 | 40.92903 | 0.99621 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3424.80962 / (1 + e^(-0.19098(t - 42.68443))) | 3424.80962 | 0.19098 | 42.68443 | 0.99437 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.76346 / (1 + e^(-0.17135(t - 42.65473))) | 49.76346 | 0.17135 | 42.65473 | 0.99196 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 31.79979 / (1 + e^(-0.18298(t - 43.07953))) | 31.79979 | 0.18298 | 43.07953 | 0.98988 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.04389(t - 39.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.04389 | 39.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4456.79034 / (1 + e^(-0.19993(t - 42.25342))) | 4456.79034 | 0.19993 | 42.25342 | 0.99520 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 21.92723 / (1 + e^(-0.19348(t - 41.79695))) | 21.92723 | 0.19348 | 41.79695 | 0.99558 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.9% | 41 | 9 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.9% | 759 | 180 | 568 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 756 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 39.9% | 1,795 | 452 | 1,312 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 1,783 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 51.1% | 2,303 | 556 | 1,700 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,282 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.5% | 3,852 | 907 | 2,876 | 42 | 25 | 2 | 3,825 | 19 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.6% | 4,124 | 966 | 3,086 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 4,095 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 91.6% | 4,124 | 966 | 3,086 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 4,095 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 91.6% | 4,124 | 966 | 3,086 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 4,095 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 91.6% | 4,124 | 966 | 3,086 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 4,095 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,504 | 983 | 3,437 | 50 | 32 | 2 | 4,470 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex