SOCORRO (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27199. 74 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 18115.52292 / (1 + e^(-0.21011(t - 36.22769))) | 18115.52292 | 0.21011 | 36.22769 | 0.99981 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4361.91322 / (1 + e^(-0.21676(t - 35.98374))) | 4361.91322 | 0.21676 | 35.98374 | 0.99973 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 13407.01759 / (1 + e^(-0.20804(t - 36.31078))) | 13407.01759 | 0.20804 | 36.31078 | 0.99979 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 248.75294 / (1 + e^(-0.21966(t - 35.65239))) | 248.75294 | 0.21966 | 35.65239 | 0.99922 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 86.92752 / (1 + e^(-0.20817(t - 37.31579))) | 86.92752 | 0.20817 | 37.31579 | 0.99904 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.02912 / (1 + e^(-0.14991(t - 41.77689))) | 11.02912 | 0.14991 | 41.77689 | 0.98850 |
| Validos | y(t) = 18017.59092 / (1 + e^(-0.21021(t - 36.21983))) | 18017.59092 | 0.21021 | 36.21983 | 0.99981 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 73.99958 / (1 + e^(-0.20803(t - 35.62275))) | 73.99958 | 0.20803 | 35.62275 | 0.99980 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.8% | 515 | 142 | 366 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 512 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.1% | 918 | 270 | 636 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 915 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.1% | 3,467 | 865 | 2,536 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 3,452 | 16 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.2% | 6,914 | 1,627 | 5,156 | 100 | 28 | 3 | 6,883 | 30 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 64.8% | 11,744 | 2,930 | 8,581 | 174 | 55 | 4 | 11,685 | 50 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 83.4% | 15,105 | 3,716 | 11,103 | 212 | 68 | 6 | 15,031 | 63 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.3% | 16,720 | 4,061 | 12,347 | 228 | 77 | 7 | 16,636 | 69 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.4% | 17,821 | 4,310 | 13,174 | 242 | 84 | 11 | 17,726 | 73 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.4% | 17,821 | 4,310 | 13,174 | 242 | 84 | 11 | 17,726 | 73 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 18,118 | 4,362 | 13,409 | 249 | 87 | 11 | 18,020 | 74 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex