SANTA HELENA DEL OPON (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27194. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2155.23640 / (1 + e^(-0.17210(t - 35.64256))) | 2155.23640 | 0.17210 | 35.64256 | 0.99700 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 251.29437 / (1 + e^(-0.16530(t - 33.02259))) | 251.29437 | 0.16530 | 33.02259 | 0.99514 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1863.93423 / (1 + e^(-0.17255(t - 35.97738))) | 1863.93423 | 0.17255 | 35.97738 | 0.99717 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.00723 / (1 + e^(-0.23312(t - 36.36002))) | 30.00723 | 0.23312 | 36.36002 | 0.99409 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.00794 / (1 + e^(-0.49808(t - 34.19318))) | 7.00794 | 0.49808 | 34.19318 | 0.99362 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 2145.24258 / (1 + e^(-0.17165(t - 35.64337))) | 2145.24258 | 0.17165 | 35.64337 | 0.99700 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 12.02016 / (1 + e^(-0.13653(t - 32.25827))) | 12.02016 | 0.13653 | 32.25827 | 0.99490 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.5% | 33 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 5.1% | 110 | 21 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 20.8% | 448 | 74 | 368 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 447 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.8% | 448 | 74 | 368 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 447 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.6% | 832 | 120 | 701 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 829 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.0% | 1,464 | 191 | 1,243 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1,456 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 79.6% | 1,713 | 224 | 1,454 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1,703 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.2% | 1,941 | 233 | 1,670 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1,931 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,153 | 251 | 1,862 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2,143 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex