SANTA BARBARA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27195. 9 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1720.95811 / (1 + e^(-0.19481(t - 36.98803))) | 1720.95811 | 0.19481 | 36.98803 | 0.99771 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 246.33118 / (1 + e^(-0.19268(t - 36.29956))) | 246.33118 | 0.19268 | 36.29956 | 0.99461 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1444.61180 / (1 + e^(-0.19480(t - 37.07508))) | 1444.61180 | 0.19480 | 37.07508 | 0.99784 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 19.02802 / (1 + e^(-0.27310(t - 38.89999))) | 19.02802 | 0.27310 | 38.89999 | 0.98281 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 10.00706 / (1 + e^(-0.17675(t - 39.76965))) | 10.00706 | 0.17675 | 39.76965 | 0.99431 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64773(t - 26.49971))) | 1.00000 | 9.64773 | 26.49971 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1709.95823 / (1 + e^(-0.19501(t - 36.98038))) | 1709.95823 | 0.19501 | 36.98038 | 0.99771 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 9.01300 / (1 + e^(-0.18244(t - 36.59523))) | 9.01300 | 0.18244 | 36.59523 | 0.99363 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 4.9% | 84 | 22 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.9% | 84 | 22 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.9% | 84 | 22 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.0% | 344 | 55 | 283 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 342 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.9% | 601 | 92 | 501 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 597 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 56.9% | 978 | 135 | 830 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 972 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.5% | 1,470 | 225 | 1,219 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1,462 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.5% | 1,470 | 225 | 1,219 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1,462 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,720 | 246 | 1,444 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1,709 | 9 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex