PALMAR (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27151. 6 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1151.23595 / (1 + e^(-0.18590(t - 40.80495))) | 1151.23595 | 0.18590 | 40.80495 | 0.99179 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 201.07480 / (1 + e^(-0.19246(t - 39.18420))) | 201.07480 | 0.19246 | 39.18420 | 0.99090 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 936.10880 / (1 + e^(-0.18562(t - 41.13511))) | 936.10880 | 0.18562 | 41.13511 | 0.99186 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 4.00659 / (1 + e^(-0.22152(t - 40.48501))) | 4.00659 | 0.22152 | 40.48501 | 0.98862 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.02002 / (1 + e^(-0.17344(t - 42.75060))) | 8.02002 | 0.17344 | 42.75060 | 0.98416 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00240 / (1 + e^(-0.27803(t - 41.51365))) | 2.00240 | 0.27803 | 41.51365 | 0.98745 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1141.21075 / (1 + e^(-0.18598(t - 40.78990))) | 1141.21075 | 0.18598 | 40.78990 | 0.99178 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 5.99633 / (1 + e^(-0.21112(t - 38.19974))) | 5.99633 | 0.21112 | 38.19974 | 0.99084 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 25.8% | 297 | 68 | 225 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 294 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 54.0% | 621 | 121 | 494 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 617 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 54.0% | 621 | 121 | 494 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 617 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 76.7% | 882 | 166 | 704 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 874 | 5 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,150 | 201 | 935 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1,140 | 6 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex