ONZAGA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27148. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 2319.61794 / (1 + e^(-0.20247(t - 55.12760))) | 2319.61794 | 0.20247 | 55.12760 | 0.99792 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 279.72686 / (1 + e^(-0.17819(t - 54.50830))) | 279.72686 | 0.17819 | 54.50830 | 0.99264 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1999.90498 / (1 + e^(-0.20484(t - 55.18835))) | 1999.90498 | 0.20484 | 55.18835 | 0.99818 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 18.01244 / (1 + e^(-0.21275(t - 54.33451))) | 18.01244 | 0.21275 | 54.33451 | 0.99681 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.01037 / (1 + e^(-0.27394(t - 59.00965))) | 12.01037 | 0.27394 | 59.00965 | 0.99861 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.98619 / (1 + e^(-0.22465(t - 51.44195))) | 9.98619 | 0.22465 | 51.44195 | 0.99067 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2297.59947 / (1 + e^(-0.20238(t - 55.11907))) | 2297.59947 | 0.20238 | 55.11907 | 0.99789 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.04273 / (1 + e^(-0.13282(t - 50.70428))) | 14.04273 | 0.13282 | 50.70428 | 0.99308 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.2% | 143 | 35 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 7.2% | 167 | 40 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 7.2% | 167 | 40 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 7.2% | 167 | 40 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 3 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 24.3% | 563 | 75 | 477 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 558 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 44.6% | 1,032 | 113 | 900 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 1,022 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 63.4% | 1,469 | 183 | 1,261 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 1,456 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.2% | 2,067 | 261 | 1,772 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 2,049 | 13 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,316 | 279 | 1,997 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 2,294 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex