PALMAS DEL SOCORRO (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27154. 8 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2012.80566 / (1 + e^(-0.17919(t - 35.39034))) | 2012.80566 | 0.17919 | 35.39034 | 0.99078 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 243.04050 / (1 + e^(-0.18706(t - 34.10493))) | 243.04050 | 0.18706 | 34.10493 | 0.98986 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1726.74392 / (1 + e^(-0.17786(t - 35.59531))) | 1726.74392 | 0.17786 | 35.59531 | 0.99076 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 31.97267 / (1 + e^(-0.23838(t - 33.63555))) | 31.97267 | 0.23838 | 33.63555 | 0.98963 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.00293 / (1 + e^(-0.21780(t - 34.48313))) | 8.00293 | 0.21780 | 34.48313 | 0.99046 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00000 / (1 + e^(-12.22927(t - 41.50721))) | 3.00000 | 12.22927 | 41.50721 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2001.78531 / (1 + e^(-0.17903(t - 35.38137))) | 2001.78531 | 0.17903 | 35.38137 | 0.99073 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 8.00444 / (1 + e^(-0.17755(t - 34.31517))) | 8.00444 | 0.17755 | 34.31517 | 0.99092 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.8% | 156 | 29 | 124 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 21.7% | 436 | 53 | 377 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 435 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 58.1% | 1,168 | 158 | 983 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1,163 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 58.1% | 1,168 | 158 | 983 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1,163 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 72.9% | 1,467 | 184 | 1,246 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1,457 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,011 | 243 | 1,725 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2,000 | 8 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex