OIBA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27145. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 7001.25517 / (1 + e^(-0.17593(t - 43.33476))) | 7001.25517 | 0.17593 | 43.33476 | 0.99658 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1295.97965 / (1 + e^(-0.16589(t - 43.68393))) | 1295.97965 | 0.16589 | 43.68393 | 0.99671 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5565.24085 / (1 + e^(-0.17794(t - 43.24602))) | 5565.24085 | 0.17794 | 43.24602 | 0.99651 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 90.06826 / (1 + e^(-0.23023(t - 43.86581))) | 90.06826 | 0.23023 | 43.86581 | 0.99698 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 41.97758 / (1 + e^(-0.17609(t - 42.34200))) | 41.97758 | 0.17609 | 42.34200 | 0.99429 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.01293 / (1 + e^(-0.16607(t - 49.41588))) | 8.01293 | 0.16607 | 49.41588 | 0.99390 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6951.26453 / (1 + e^(-0.17600(t - 43.33427))) | 6951.26453 | 0.17600 | 43.33427 | 0.99659 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 31.02812 / (1 + e^(-0.16123(t - 43.24934))) | 31.02812 | 0.16123 | 43.24934 | 0.99726 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.4% | 30 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.9% | 346 | 80 | 260 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 343 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.5% | 1,434 | 273 | 1,137 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1,423 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 27.6% | 1,929 | 368 | 1,532 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 1,917 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.3% | 4,222 | 744 | 3,395 | 51 | 29 | 3 | 4,190 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 64.6% | 4,520 | 803 | 3,622 | 62 | 30 | 3 | 4,487 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.4% | 6,394 | 1,166 | 5,097 | 88 | 37 | 6 | 6,351 | 28 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 91.4% | 6,394 | 1,166 | 5,097 | 88 | 37 | 6 | 6,351 | 28 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,998 | 1,295 | 5,563 | 90 | 42 | 8 | 6,948 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex