MOGOTES (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27136. 28 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5941.06015 / (1 + e^(-0.24192(t - 42.65594))) | 5941.06015 | 0.24192 | 42.65594 | 0.99931 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 903.85702 / (1 + e^(-0.27780(t - 42.65814))) | 903.85702 | 0.27780 | 42.65814 | 0.99946 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4891.16710 / (1 + e^(-0.23567(t - 42.60799))) | 4891.16710 | 0.23567 | 42.60799 | 0.99927 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 76.01135 / (1 + e^(-0.29322(t - 43.60299))) | 76.01135 | 0.29322 | 43.60299 | 0.99946 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 63.01999 / (1 + e^(-0.25868(t - 44.66337))) | 63.01999 | 0.25868 | 44.66337 | 0.99890 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00393 / (1 + e^(-0.22588(t - 44.92431))) | 7.00393 | 0.22588 | 44.92431 | 0.99765 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5871.02110 / (1 + e^(-0.24196(t - 42.63142))) | 5871.02110 | 0.24196 | 42.63142 | 0.99931 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.05223 / (1 + e^(-0.16478(t - 40.23006))) | 28.05223 | 0.16478 | 40.23006 | 0.99547 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 75 | 14 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.4% | 199 | 24 | 170 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.3% | 433 | 47 | 379 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 430 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 7.3% | 433 | 47 | 379 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 430 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 29.9% | 1,777 | 242 | 1,505 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1,763 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.4% | 3,471 | 543 | 2,858 | 39 | 28 | 3 | 3,440 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.8% | 4,916 | 772 | 4,025 | 65 | 49 | 5 | 4,862 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.6% | 5,442 | 841 | 4,468 | 71 | 56 | 6 | 5,380 | 26 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,940 | 904 | 4,890 | 76 | 63 | 7 | 5,870 | 28 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex