MOLAGAVITA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27139. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 2534.34584 / (1 + e^(-0.14320(t - 38.62670))) | 2534.34584 | 0.14320 | 38.62670 | 0.99855 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 275.24295 / (1 + e^(-0.14432(t - 38.70245))) | 275.24295 | 0.14432 | 38.70245 | 0.99806 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2228.01616 / (1 + e^(-0.14366(t - 38.57436))) | 2228.01616 | 0.14366 | 38.57436 | 0.99848 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 18.01439 / (1 + e^(-0.15654(t - 45.83204))) | 18.01439 | 0.15654 | 45.83204 | 0.98820 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.01345 / (1 + e^(-0.10758(t - 33.98222))) | 12.01345 | 0.10758 | 33.98222 | 0.98487 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.98724(t - 46.50399))) | 1.00000 | 9.98724 | 46.50399 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2521.30706 / (1 + e^(-0.14346(t - 38.63973))) | 2521.30706 | 0.14346 | 38.63973 | 0.99855 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.00970 / (1 + e^(-0.14229(t - 35.95367))) | 17.00970 | 0.14229 | 35.95367 | 0.99908 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.0% | 25 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.0% | 25 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.0% | 279 | 35 | 238 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 275 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.7% | 601 | 63 | 530 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 596 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 33.6% | 851 | 101 | 740 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 844 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 51.1% | 1,295 | 131 | 1,154 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1,288 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.8% | 1,719 | 179 | 1,527 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1,712 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.9% | 2,100 | 230 | 1,844 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2,088 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.8% | 2,275 | 256 | 1,993 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2,263 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.8% | 2,275 | 256 | 1,993 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2,263 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,534 | 275 | 2,228 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2,521 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex