MATANZA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27133. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3791.31223 / (1 + e^(-0.24854(t - 35.48973))) | 3791.31223 | 0.24854 | 35.48973 | 0.99581 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 606.98834 / (1 + e^(-0.23099(t - 34.85969))) | 606.98834 | 0.23099 | 34.85969 | 0.99425 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3125.40039 / (1 + e^(-0.25234(t - 35.61622))) | 3125.40039 | 0.25234 | 35.61622 | 0.99605 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 34.95976 / (1 + e^(-0.25770(t - 34.17026))) | 34.95976 | 0.25770 | 34.17026 | 0.99543 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 20.97222 / (1 + e^(-0.21999(t - 36.63985))) | 20.97222 | 0.21999 | 36.63985 | 0.99341 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 3767.35866 / (1 + e^(-0.24853(t - 35.48511))) | 3767.35866 | 0.24853 | 35.48511 | 0.99582 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.98131 / (1 + e^(-0.22702(t - 33.84073))) | 17.98131 | 0.22702 | 33.84073 | 0.99555 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.0% | 303 | 68 | 230 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.0% | 303 | 68 | 230 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 45.9% | 1,743 | 308 | 1,405 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1,733 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 72.5% | 2,752 | 460 | 2,249 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 2,735 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 86.4% | 3,281 | 516 | 2,713 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3,261 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.4% | 3,281 | 516 | 2,713 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3,261 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,797 | 608 | 3,130 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 3,773 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex