MALAGA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27130. 52 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11239.54975 / (1 + e^(-0.17384(t - 41.14780))) | 11239.54975 | 0.17384 | 41.14780 | 0.99802 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3253.56261 / (1 + e^(-0.18513(t - 42.94404))) | 3253.56261 | 0.18513 | 42.94404 | 0.99840 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7684.90798 / (1 + e^(-0.17347(t - 40.30682))) | 7684.90798 | 0.17347 | 40.30682 | 0.99749 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 208.85347 / (1 + e^(-0.17178(t - 43.20944))) | 208.85347 | 0.17178 | 43.20944 | 0.99897 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 86.90955 / (1 + e^(-0.19213(t - 41.47744))) | 86.90955 | 0.19213 | 41.47744 | 0.99762 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 11148.66370 / (1 + e^(-0.17368(t - 41.14810))) | 11148.66370 | 0.17368 | 41.14810 | 0.99802 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 51.98689 / (1 + e^(-0.15694(t - 39.59977))) | 51.98689 | 0.15694 | 39.59977 | 0.99850 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 19 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 91 | 13 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.8% | 91 | 13 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.2% | 815 | 157 | 643 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 814 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 22.6% | 2,539 | 581 | 1,899 | 39 | 19 | 1 | 2,519 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.3% | 5,318 | 1,200 | 4,004 | 72 | 38 | 4 | 5,276 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.0% | 6,527 | 1,603 | 4,764 | 106 | 50 | 4 | 6,473 | 32 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 78.7% | 8,851 | 2,451 | 6,174 | 152 | 70 | 4 | 8,777 | 42 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.9% | 10,450 | 3,052 | 7,122 | 190 | 82 | 4 | 10,364 | 49 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.9% | 10,450 | 3,052 | 7,122 | 190 | 82 | 4 | 10,364 | 49 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.0% | 10,685 | 3,128 | 7,272 | 198 | 83 | 4 | 10,598 | 50 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.5% | 10,975 | 3,191 | 7,494 | 201 | 85 | 4 | 10,886 | 51 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,251 | 3,254 | 7,697 | 209 | 87 | 4 | 11,160 | 52 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex