MACARAVITA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27127. 7 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 1371.79049 / (1 + e^(-0.46471(t - 32.22348))) | 1371.79049 | 0.46471 | 32.22348 | 0.99947 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 158.08056 / (1 + e^(-0.44141(t - 31.69281))) | 158.08056 | 0.44141 | 31.69281 | 0.99935 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1193.68562 / (1 + e^(-0.47065(t - 32.28877))) | 1193.68562 | 0.47065 | 32.28877 | 0.99950 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 14.01117 / (1 + e^(-0.38415(t - 31.95698))) | 14.01117 | 0.38415 | 31.95698 | 0.99808 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00621 / (1 + e^(-0.46229(t - 33.61874))) | 6.00621 | 0.46229 | 33.61874 | 0.99782 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 1365.78367 / (1 + e^(-0.46501(t - 32.21774))) | 1365.78367 | 0.46501 | 32.21774 | 0.99948 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 7.00368 / (1 + e^(-0.41904(t - 31.50396))) | 7.00368 | 0.41904 | 31.50396 | 0.99905 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.0% | 274 | 40 | 229 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 67.8% | 930 | 113 | 805 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 927 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,371 | 158 | 1,193 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1,365 | 7 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex