LA BELLEZA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27119. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3736.12342 / (1 + e^(-0.22492(t - 30.49598))) | 3736.12342 | 0.22492 | 30.49598 | 0.99920 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 511.95949 / (1 + e^(-0.23997(t - 29.47835))) | 511.95949 | 0.23997 | 29.47835 | 0.99953 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3173.20571 / (1 + e^(-0.22244(t - 30.68034))) | 3173.20571 | 0.22244 | 30.68034 | 0.99904 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.00848 / (1 + e^(-0.27694(t - 29.20222))) | 41.00848 | 0.27694 | 29.20222 | 0.99692 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.00569 / (1 + e^(-0.41148(t - 31.34619))) | 8.00569 | 0.41148 | 31.34619 | 0.99824 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.04389(t - 39.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.04389 | 39.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3726.11140 / (1 + e^(-0.22479(t - 30.48922))) | 3726.11140 | 0.22479 | 30.48922 | 0.99919 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.99882 / (1 + e^(-0.22341(t - 29.45374))) | 17.99882 | 0.22341 | 29.45374 | 0.99926 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.6% | 96 | 27 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.6% | 96 | 27 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 19.3% | 722 | 104 | 607 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 721 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 44.3% | 1,655 | 249 | 1,387 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1,653 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 67.1% | 2,507 | 382 | 2,084 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 2,501 | 13 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 86.9% | 3,248 | 459 | 2,742 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3,239 | 16 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 93.7% | 3,501 | 491 | 2,960 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 3,491 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,736 | 512 | 3,173 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3,726 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex