JORDAN (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27115. 6 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1137.57390 / (1 + e^(-0.11778(t - 39.60895))) | 1137.57390 | 0.11778 | 39.60895 | 0.98875 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 118.28244 / (1 + e^(-0.10411(t - 37.53292))) | 118.28244 | 0.10411 | 37.53292 | 0.98092 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1002.19441 / (1 + e^(-0.12049(t - 39.93206))) | 1002.19441 | 0.12049 | 39.93206 | 0.98945 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 9.98733 / (1 + e^(-0.11922(t - 29.86941))) | 9.98733 | 0.11922 | 29.86941 | 0.95546 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3.01373 / (1 + e^(-0.10161(t - 42.87603))) | 3.01373 | 0.10161 | 42.87603 | 0.96949 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.01157 / (1 + e^(-0.10971(t - 34.03973))) | 4.01157 | 0.10971 | 34.03973 | 0.94755 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1130.54626 / (1 + e^(-0.11790(t - 39.61910))) | 1130.54626 | 0.11790 | 39.61910 | 0.98880 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 6.00074 / (1 + e^(-0.11543(t - 33.87001))) | 6.00074 | 0.11543 | 33.87001 | 0.98200 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 25.5% | 289 | 41 | 239 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 286 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 28.2% | 320 | 47 | 264 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 317 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 28.2% | 320 | 47 | 264 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 317 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.7% | 610 | 64 | 536 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 607 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 53.7% | 610 | 64 | 536 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 607 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.4% | 879 | 92 | 772 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 873 | 5 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 77.4% | 879 | 92 | 772 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 873 | 5 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,135 | 118 | 1,000 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1,128 | 6 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex