LA PAZ (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27118. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2532.90232 / (1 + e^(-0.10362(t - 39.53835))) | 2532.90232 | 0.10362 | 39.53835 | 0.98298 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 329.73570 / (1 + e^(-0.10450(t - 41.15646))) | 329.73570 | 0.10450 | 41.15646 | 0.98689 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2149.07816 / (1 + e^(-0.10394(t - 39.22839))) | 2149.07816 | 0.10394 | 39.22839 | 0.98213 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.93580 / (1 + e^(-0.10564(t - 38.45884))) | 27.93580 | 0.10564 | 38.45884 | 0.98016 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 23.03482 / (1 + e^(-0.09331(t - 44.76163))) | 23.03482 | 0.09331 | 44.76163 | 0.98496 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00591 / (1 + e^(-0.12140(t - 46.54862))) | 3.00591 | 0.12140 | 46.54862 | 0.98428 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2506.83424 / (1 + e^(-0.10382(t - 39.48088))) | 2506.83424 | 0.10382 | 39.48088 | 0.98292 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 13.96861 / (1 + e^(-0.10680(t - 36.90024))) | 13.96861 | 0.10680 | 36.90024 | 0.98551 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.6% | 15 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 10.1% | 255 | 30 | 219 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.9% | 531 | 56 | 467 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 528 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 51.0% | 1,294 | 143 | 1,127 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1,285 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 51.0% | 1,294 | 143 | 1,127 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1,285 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.6% | 1,714 | 216 | 1,462 | 21 | 14 | 1 | 1,699 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 75.1% | 1,905 | 245 | 1,622 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1,888 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 75.1% | 1,905 | 245 | 1,622 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1,888 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 75.1% | 1,905 | 245 | 1,622 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1,888 | 11 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 80.3% | 2,036 | 264 | 1,729 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 2,016 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,537 | 330 | 2,153 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2,511 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex