JESUS MARIA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27112. 11 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 2143.16922 / (1 + e^(-0.17513(t - 37.84601))) | 2143.16922 | 0.17513 | 37.84601 | 0.99511 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 691.86009 / (1 + e^(-0.18132(t - 38.40311))) | 691.86009 | 0.18132 | 38.40311 | 0.99650 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1404.21898 / (1 + e^(-0.17315(t - 37.56469))) | 1404.21898 | 0.17315 | 37.56469 | 0.99428 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 26.03956 / (1 + e^(-0.18737(t - 39.75492))) | 26.03956 | 0.18737 | 39.75492 | 0.99403 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 18.99208 / (1 + e^(-0.15882(t - 35.17651))) | 18.99208 | 0.15882 | 35.17651 | 0.98760 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00339 / (1 + e^(-0.18505(t - 39.02864))) | 2.00339 | 0.18505 | 39.02864 | 0.97658 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2122.16273 / (1 + e^(-0.17540(t - 37.86747))) | 2122.16273 | 0.17540 | 37.86747 | 0.99515 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 11.01199 / (1 + e^(-0.17440(t - 36.98340))) | 11.01199 | 0.17440 | 36.98340 | 0.99698 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.6% | 119 | 43 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 117 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.4% | 266 | 79 | 181 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 45.5% | 974 | 281 | 670 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 961 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 52.3% | 1,120 | 338 | 758 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 1,107 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 68.4% | 1,464 | 474 | 959 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1,449 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.6% | 1,876 | 614 | 1,222 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 1,859 | 10 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,141 | 691 | 1,403 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2,120 | 11 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex