HATO (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27109. 8 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1574.55852 / (1 + e^(-0.25835(t - 41.84912))) | 1574.55852 | 0.25835 | 41.84912 | 0.99632 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 303.49023 / (1 + e^(-0.28736(t - 41.60834))) | 303.49023 | 0.28736 | 41.60834 | 0.99708 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1237.13324 / (1 + e^(-0.25430(t - 41.87961))) | 1237.13324 | 0.25430 | 41.87961 | 0.99622 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 21.00233 / (1 + e^(-0.18047(t - 43.98288))) | 21.00233 | 0.18047 | 43.98288 | 0.98933 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 10.98686 / (1 + e^(-0.22325(t - 44.18404))) | 10.98686 | 0.22325 | 44.18404 | 0.99031 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00232 / (1 + e^(-0.27805(t - 31.51318))) | 2.00232 | 0.27805 | 31.51318 | 0.98345 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1561.57760 / (1 + e^(-0.25882(t - 41.84500))) | 1561.57760 | 0.25882 | 41.84500 | 0.99633 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 8.00909 / (1 + e^(-0.15471(t - 38.33123))) | 8.00909 | 0.15471 | 38.33123 | 0.99496 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.6% | 26 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.6% | 26 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.3% | 52 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 3.3% | 52 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 35.0% | 552 | 107 | 432 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 548 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.5% | 1,065 | 209 | 836 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1,056 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.2% | 1,328 | 264 | 1,039 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1,318 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 84.2% | 1,328 | 264 | 1,039 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1,318 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,577 | 304 | 1,239 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1,564 | 8 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex