GUAPOTA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27100. 7 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1505.92795 / (1 + e^(-0.21389(t - 28.81761))) | 1505.92795 | 0.21389 | 28.81761 | 0.99013 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 148.15893 / (1 + e^(-0.22093(t - 28.83276))) | 148.15893 | 0.22093 | 28.83276 | 0.99048 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1337.73919 / (1 + e^(-0.21305(t - 28.81061))) | 1337.73919 | 0.21305 | 28.81061 | 0.98991 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 13.00908 / (1 + e^(-0.24356(t - 27.49064))) | 13.00908 | 0.24356 | 27.49064 | 0.99725 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.01180 / (1 + e^(-0.19516(t - 31.10786))) | 5.01180 | 0.19516 | 31.10786 | 0.96884 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.16551(t - 34.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.16551 | 34.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1498.90818 / (1 + e^(-0.21397(t - 28.80108))) | 1498.90818 | 0.21397 | 28.80108 | 0.99017 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 7.01029 / (1 + e^(-0.18629(t - 26.85733))) | 7.01029 | 0.18629 | 26.85733 | 0.99256 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.9% | 44 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.9% | 44 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 35.8% | 539 | 46 | 487 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 537 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 51.7% | 777 | 83 | 684 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 775 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 63.4% | 953 | 92 | 848 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 950 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,504 | 148 | 1,336 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1,497 | 7 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex