GUADALUPE (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27097. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 3130.12710 / (1 + e^(-0.15662(t - 43.62254))) | 3130.12710 | 0.15662 | 43.62254 | 0.99415 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 392.99215 / (1 + e^(-0.17130(t - 43.83377))) | 392.99215 | 0.17130 | 43.83377 | 0.99282 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2698.01428 / (1 + e^(-0.15536(t - 43.63018))) | 2698.01428 | 0.15536 | 43.63018 | 0.99425 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.07957 / (1 + e^(-0.13483(t - 41.14290))) | 27.07957 | 0.13483 | 41.14290 | 0.98414 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 10.02188 / (1 + e^(-0.11891(t - 39.74829))) | 10.02188 | 0.11891 | 39.74829 | 0.99260 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00464 / (1 + e^(-0.13850(t - 46.55216))) | 2.00464 | 0.13850 | 46.55216 | 0.97178 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3118.09608 / (1 + e^(-0.15684(t - 43.63276))) | 3118.09608 | 0.15684 | 43.63276 | 0.99413 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.04551 / (1 + e^(-0.11955(t - 39.23957))) | 15.04551 | 0.11955 | 39.23957 | 0.99075 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 35 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.4% | 200 | 16 | 181 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.5% | 609 | 78 | 519 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 606 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 19.5% | 609 | 78 | 519 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 606 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.6% | 1,079 | 119 | 943 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1,073 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 42.2% | 1,319 | 153 | 1,148 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1,312 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 65.9% | 2,056 | 278 | 1,749 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2,048 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 90.6% | 2,828 | 366 | 2,428 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2,819 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,122 | 392 | 2,691 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3,110 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex