EL PEÑON (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27075. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2297.45030 / (1 + e^(-0.19712(t - 38.80592))) | 2297.45030 | 0.19712 | 38.80592 | 0.99416 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 408.77918 / (1 + e^(-0.19490(t - 38.21599))) | 408.77918 | 0.19490 | 38.21599 | 0.99440 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1849.60563 / (1 + e^(-0.19819(t - 38.96795))) | 1849.60563 | 0.19819 | 38.96795 | 0.99404 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 26.04377 / (1 + e^(-0.17744(t - 37.29466))) | 26.04377 | 0.17744 | 37.29466 | 0.99273 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.99432 / (1 + e^(-0.22764(t - 34.30230))) | 9.99432 | 0.22764 | 34.30230 | 0.99302 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 2284.43130 / (1 + e^(-0.19719(t - 38.81484))) | 2284.43130 | 0.19719 | 38.81484 | 0.99416 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.02205 / (1 + e^(-0.17305(t - 34.81188))) | 18.02205 | 0.17305 | 34.81188 | 0.99504 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.0% | 68 | 17 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.4% | 376 | 75 | 293 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 374 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.8% | 799 | 153 | 629 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 793 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 44.6% | 1,023 | 183 | 819 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1,016 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 66.1% | 1,515 | 291 | 1,198 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1,506 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,293 | 408 | 1,846 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2,280 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex