EL PLAYON (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27074. 44 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8244.71877 / (1 + e^(-0.21359(t - 41.71696))) | 8244.71877 | 0.21359 | 41.71696 | 0.99776 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1673.44910 / (1 + e^(-0.23327(t - 42.08637))) | 1673.44910 | 0.23327 | 42.08637 | 0.99815 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6380.34767 / (1 + e^(-0.20785(t - 41.60037))) | 6380.34767 | 0.20785 | 41.60037 | 0.99754 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 89.89107 / (1 + e^(-0.23552(t - 41.77074))) | 89.89107 | 0.23552 | 41.77074 | 0.99796 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 91.04552 / (1 + e^(-0.23371(t - 42.02508))) | 91.04552 | 0.23371 | 42.02508 | 0.99842 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.00072 / (1 + e^(-0.36459(t - 42.07570))) | 10.00072 | 0.36459 | 42.07570 | 0.99769 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8143.67344 / (1 + e^(-0.21327(t - 41.71268))) | 8143.67344 | 0.21327 | 41.71268 | 0.99774 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 44.02709 / (1 + e^(-0.17367(t - 40.22567))) | 44.02709 | 0.17367 | 40.22567 | 0.99617 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 105 | 11 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.6% | 378 | 55 | 318 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 376 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.1% | 997 | 126 | 852 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 987 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 15.1% | 1,242 | 192 | 1,027 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1,230 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 36.8% | 3,036 | 602 | 2,368 | 32 | 32 | 2 | 3,002 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 55.8% | 4,605 | 919 | 3,576 | 52 | 51 | 7 | 4,547 | 26 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.5% | 7,217 | 1,473 | 5,575 | 81 | 79 | 9 | 7,129 | 39 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.6% | 8,048 | 1,625 | 6,236 | 87 | 90 | 10 | 7,948 | 43 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.6% | 8,048 | 1,625 | 6,236 | 87 | 90 | 10 | 7,948 | 43 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.6% | 8,048 | 1,625 | 6,236 | 87 | 90 | 10 | 7,948 | 43 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.6% | 8,048 | 1,625 | 6,236 | 87 | 90 | 10 | 7,948 | 43 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.6% | 8,048 | 1,625 | 6,236 | 87 | 90 | 10 | 7,948 | 43 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,246 | 1,675 | 6,380 | 90 | 91 | 10 | 8,145 | 44 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex