CONFINES (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27049. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2128.21409 / (1 + e^(-0.18018(t - 39.31975))) | 2128.21409 | 0.18018 | 39.31975 | 0.99280 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 214.28236 / (1 + e^(-0.17187(t - 39.79989))) | 214.28236 | 0.17187 | 39.79989 | 0.99270 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1875.85967 / (1 + e^(-0.18124(t - 39.23709))) | 1875.85967 | 0.18124 | 39.23709 | 0.99276 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 25.07088 / (1 + e^(-0.13570(t - 40.33725))) | 25.07088 | 0.13570 | 40.33725 | 0.98882 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.00048 / (1 + e^(-1.45706(t - 40.22827))) | 7.00048 | 1.45706 | 40.22827 | 0.99357 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00000 / (1 + e^(-10.39140(t - 41.51173))) | 6.00000 | 10.39140 | 41.51173 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2115.20448 / (1 + e^(-0.17950(t - 39.30704))) | 2115.20448 | 0.17950 | 39.30704 | 0.99278 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 10.02091 / (1 + e^(-0.12858(t - 35.41445))) | 10.02091 | 0.12858 | 35.41445 | 0.99080 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.5% | 31 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.5% | 31 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.8% | 250 | 26 | 218 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.6% | 820 | 80 | 730 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 819 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.6% | 820 | 80 | 730 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 819 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 76.7% | 1,631 | 157 | 1,445 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 1,618 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 76.7% | 1,631 | 157 | 1,445 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 1,618 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,126 | 214 | 1,874 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2,113 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex