CONTRATACION (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27052. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 2032.97465 / (1 + e^(-0.20489(t - 33.69645))) | 2032.97465 | 0.20489 | 33.69645 | 0.99133 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 458.62850 / (1 + e^(-0.20746(t - 33.65198))) | 458.62850 | 0.20746 | 33.65198 | 0.99078 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1530.31446 / (1 + e^(-0.20472(t - 33.78694))) | 1530.31446 | 0.20472 | 33.78694 | 0.99155 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 25.96095 / (1 + e^(-0.25663(t - 29.65004))) | 25.96095 | 0.25663 | 29.65004 | 0.98051 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 16.03402 / (1 + e^(-0.17721(t - 33.72276))) | 16.03402 | 0.17721 | 33.72276 | 0.98773 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64741(t - 26.49018))) | 2.00000 | 9.64741 | 26.49018 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2014.94556 / (1 + e^(-0.20515(t - 33.70522))) | 2014.94556 | 0.20515 | 33.70522 | 0.99134 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 10.01172 / (1 + e^(-0.17883(t - 31.02540))) | 10.01172 | 0.17883 | 31.02540 | 0.99258 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.4% | 29 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.7% | 135 | 20 | 112 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 38.6% | 784 | 179 | 580 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 776 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 49.8% | 1,010 | 232 | 750 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1,000 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.3% | 1,286 | 291 | 964 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1,275 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,030 | 458 | 1,528 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2,012 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex