CONCEPCION (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27046. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 3456.77709 / (1 + e^(-0.39765(t - 43.81026))) | 3456.77709 | 0.39765 | 43.81026 | 0.99741 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 636.00663 / (1 + e^(-0.39335(t - 43.14250))) | 636.00663 | 0.39335 | 43.14250 | 0.99560 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2741.69825 / (1 + e^(-0.40102(t - 43.94931))) | 2741.69825 | 0.40102 | 43.94931 | 0.99768 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 51.01023 / (1 + e^(-0.43281(t - 44.53977))) | 51.01023 | 0.43281 | 44.53977 | 0.99879 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 22.00800 / (1 + e^(-0.38642(t - 44.08739))) | 22.00800 | 0.38642 | 44.08739 | 0.99753 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00885 / (1 + e^(-0.37864(t - 43.35114))) | 6.00885 | 0.37864 | 43.35114 | 0.99050 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3428.76139 / (1 + e^(-0.39772(t - 43.80921))) | 3428.76139 | 0.39772 | 43.80921 | 0.99741 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.05425 / (1 + e^(-0.17122(t - 40.53522))) | 19.05425 | 0.17122 | 40.53522 | 0.98591 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.0% | 69 | 8 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.2% | 144 | 47 | 94 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.1% | 315 | 69 | 240 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 9.1% | 315 | 69 | 240 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 9.1% | 315 | 69 | 240 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 53.3% | 1,842 | 390 | 1,415 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1,828 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.5% | 3,025 | 560 | 2,396 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3,000 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,456 | 636 | 2,741 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3,428 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex