CIMITARRA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27045. 94 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 16872.58217 / (1 + e^(-0.23081(t - 36.59276))) | 16872.58217 | 0.23081 | 36.59276 | 0.99961 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5845.00887 / (1 + e^(-0.22346(t - 36.83888))) | 5845.00887 | 0.22346 | 36.83888 | 0.99948 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 10522.96897 / (1 + e^(-0.23507(t - 36.45743))) | 10522.96897 | 0.23507 | 36.45743 | 0.99961 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 223.89150 / (1 + e^(-0.22562(t - 36.70807))) | 223.89150 | 0.22562 | 36.70807 | 0.99975 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 240.88672 / (1 + e^(-0.22986(t - 36.53501))) | 240.88672 | 0.22986 | 36.53501 | 0.99923 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 39.93816 / (1 + e^(-0.31252(t - 37.03965))) | 39.93816 | 0.31252 | 37.03965 | 0.99788 |
| Validos | y(t) = 16591.74529 / (1 + e^(-0.23070(t - 36.59233))) | 16591.74529 | 0.23070 | 36.59233 | 0.99962 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 93.98444 / (1 + e^(-0.22170(t - 35.49880))) | 93.98444 | 0.22170 | 35.49880 | 0.99969 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 51 | 26 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.0% | 500 | 111 | 372 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 495 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.5% | 2,617 | 932 | 1,606 | 33 | 41 | 5 | 2,571 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.8% | 6,050 | 2,077 | 3,800 | 78 | 86 | 9 | 5,955 | 40 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 64.4% | 10,862 | 3,622 | 6,912 | 144 | 156 | 28 | 10,678 | 65 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 82.1% | 13,860 | 4,768 | 8,678 | 183 | 197 | 34 | 13,629 | 79 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 96.4% | 16,270 | 5,563 | 10,221 | 212 | 235 | 39 | 15,996 | 91 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.5% | 16,617 | 5,706 | 10,416 | 220 | 236 | 39 | 16,342 | 93 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.5% | 16,617 | 5,706 | 10,416 | 220 | 236 | 39 | 16,342 | 93 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.5% | 16,617 | 5,706 | 10,416 | 220 | 236 | 39 | 16,342 | 93 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 16,878 | 5,849 | 10,524 | 224 | 241 | 40 | 16,597 | 94 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex