CEPITA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27040. 11 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1516.88968 / (1 + e^(-0.23845(t - 32.30782))) | 1516.88968 | 0.23845 | 32.30782 | 0.99755 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 217.31349 / (1 + e^(-0.23423(t - 32.68093))) | 217.31349 | 0.23423 | 32.68093 | 0.99676 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1279.55786 / (1 + e^(-0.23964(t - 32.23774))) | 1279.55786 | 0.23964 | 32.23774 | 0.99758 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 12.01658 / (1 + e^(-0.23907(t - 35.19416))) | 12.01658 | 0.23907 | 35.19416 | 0.99319 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 4.99255 / (1 + e^(-0.26633(t - 28.59801))) | 4.99255 | 0.26633 | 28.59801 | 0.99278 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00501 / (1 + e^(-0.24361(t - 30.32438))) | 3.00501 | 0.24361 | 30.32438 | 0.98879 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1508.88514 / (1 + e^(-0.23863(t - 32.32397))) | 1508.88514 | 0.23863 | 32.32397 | 0.99753 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 11.00503 / (1 + e^(-0.22397(t - 28.66073))) | 11.00503 | 0.22397 | 28.66073 | 0.99877 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.4% | 52 | 9 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.5% | 205 | 32 | 170 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 35.6% | 539 | 73 | 460 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 535 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 52.8% | 800 | 107 | 681 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 794 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 85.8% | 1,300 | 184 | 1,102 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1,293 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,515 | 217 | 1,278 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,507 | 11 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex