CERRITO (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27043. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3758.10081 / (1 + e^(-0.20574(t - 40.76106))) | 3758.10081 | 0.20574 | 40.76106 | 0.99941 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 621.37244 / (1 + e^(-0.20425(t - 40.75942))) | 621.37244 | 0.20425 | 40.75942 | 0.99863 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3042.72697 / (1 + e^(-0.20564(t - 40.78375))) | 3042.72697 | 0.20564 | 40.78375 | 0.99926 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.01968 / (1 + e^(-0.23586(t - 37.66017))) | 49.01968 | 0.23586 | 37.66017 | 0.99931 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 36.99372 / (1 + e^(-0.24093(t - 42.02064))) | 36.99372 | 0.24093 | 42.02064 | 0.99919 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.00866 / (1 + e^(-0.20273(t - 46.51632))) | 8.00866 | 0.20273 | 46.51632 | 0.99676 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3713.09988 / (1 + e^(-0.20556(t - 40.73570))) | 3713.09988 | 0.20556 | 40.73570 | 0.99941 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.00158 / (1 + e^(-0.17824(t - 40.33310))) | 19.00158 | 0.17824 | 40.33310 | 0.99887 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 34 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.9% | 34 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.6% | 473 | 61 | 404 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 471 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.7% | 701 | 96 | 585 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 697 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 39.7% | 1,491 | 269 | 1,181 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1,477 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.3% | 2,530 | 428 | 2,036 | 40 | 23 | 3 | 2,504 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.9% | 3,190 | 519 | 2,587 | 47 | 32 | 5 | 3,153 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.2% | 3,463 | 550 | 2,826 | 48 | 33 | 6 | 3,424 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 99.0% | 3,721 | 586 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,676 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,757 | 622 | 3,041 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 3,712 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex