CAPITANEJO (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27034. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3231.32187 / (1 + e^(-0.38911(t - 44.29745))) | 3231.32187 | 0.38911 | 44.29745 | 0.99988 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 641.52998 / (1 + e^(-0.29544(t - 44.92070))) | 641.52998 | 0.29544 | 44.92070 | 0.99866 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2539.03430 / (1 + e^(-0.42900(t - 44.19990))) | 2539.03430 | 0.42900 | 44.19990 | 0.99986 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 34.01496 / (1 + e^(-0.28617(t - 43.55488))) | 34.01496 | 0.28617 | 43.55488 | 0.99832 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 11.00426 / (1 + e^(-0.51715(t - 44.94874))) | 11.00426 | 0.51715 | 44.94874 | 0.99959 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.99708 / (1 + e^(-0.46387(t - 44.38237))) | 5.99708 | 0.46387 | 44.38237 | 0.99836 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3214.31789 / (1 + e^(-0.38871(t - 44.29464))) | 3214.31789 | 0.38871 | 44.29464 | 0.99988 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.01126 / (1 + e^(-0.31726(t - 43.38598))) | 15.01126 | 0.31726 | 43.38598 | 0.99924 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.6% | 20 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.6% | 20 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 12.5% | 405 | 98 | 298 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 404 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 46.6% | 1,504 | 295 | 1,183 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1,497 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.1% | 2,781 | 457 | 2,283 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 2,766 | 13 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,230 | 641 | 2,538 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 3,213 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex