CALIFORNIA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27031. 6 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1315.21685 / (1 + e^(-0.40022(t - 32.48942))) | 1315.21685 | 0.40022 | 32.48942 | 0.99858 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 213.11797 / (1 + e^(-0.49184(t - 32.40170))) | 213.11797 | 0.49184 | 32.40170 | 0.99964 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1075.07826 / (1 + e^(-0.38560(t - 32.51570))) | 1075.07826 | 0.38560 | 32.51570 | 0.99811 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 18.00891 / (1 + e^(-0.42895(t - 31.50365))) | 18.00891 | 0.42895 | 31.50365 | 0.99920 |
| Nulos | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 1306.21438 / (1 + e^(-0.39881(t - 32.48264))) | 1306.21438 | 0.39881 | 32.48264 | 0.99855 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 6.00714 / (1 + e^(-0.30471(t - 31.08917))) | 6.00714 | 0.30471 | 31.08917 | 0.99713 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.8% | 37 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.9% | 301 | 35 | 261 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 60.7% | 798 | 144 | 635 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 792 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,314 | 213 | 1,074 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1,305 | 6 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex