CABRERA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27028. 6 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1319.27714 / (1 + e^(-0.30540(t - 29.35151))) | 1319.27714 | 0.30540 | 29.35151 | 0.99818 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 143.15449 / (1 + e^(-0.31845(t - 30.77124))) | 143.15449 | 0.31845 | 30.77124 | 0.99807 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1156.10412 / (1 + e^(-0.30428(t - 29.14115))) | 1156.10412 | 0.30428 | 29.14115 | 0.99809 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 14.01354 / (1 + e^(-0.35798(t - 31.83097))) | 14.01354 | 0.35798 | 31.83097 | 0.99846 |
| Nulos | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.82420(t - 31.52463))) | 3.00000 | 9.82420 | 31.52463 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1313.27561 / (1 + e^(-0.30448(t - 29.34654))) | 1313.27561 | 0.30448 | 29.34654 | 0.99817 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 6.00812 / (1 + e^(-0.23299(t - 27.69915))) | 6.00812 | 0.23299 | 27.69915 | 0.99588 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.4% | 45 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 21.9% | 289 | 22 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 42.7% | 563 | 48 | 509 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 561 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 81.8% | 1,078 | 103 | 960 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1,072 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,318 | 143 | 1,155 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1,312 | 6 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex