EL ROSARIO (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23040. 25 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5111.26053 / (1 + e^(-0.10104(t - 49.71879))) | 5111.26053 | 0.10104 | 49.71879 | 0.99696 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4619.81872 / (1 + e^(-0.10090(t - 49.38727))) | 4619.81872 | 0.10090 | 49.38727 | 0.99684 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 362.85640 / (1 + e^(-0.11055(t - 53.44953))) | 362.85640 | 0.11055 | 53.44953 | 0.99665 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 53.13094 / (1 + e^(-0.10524(t - 49.18463))) | 53.13094 | 0.10524 | 49.18463 | 0.99542 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 61.17275 / (1 + e^(-0.09290(t - 52.47240))) | 61.17275 | 0.09290 | 52.47240 | 0.98993 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 14.02366 / (1 + e^(-0.10124(t - 49.73782))) | 14.02366 | 0.10124 | 49.73782 | 0.98819 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5036.07213 / (1 + e^(-0.10117(t - 49.68680))) | 5036.07213 | 0.10117 | 49.68680 | 0.99701 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.01670 / (1 + e^(-0.09392(t - 45.40811))) | 25.01670 | 0.09392 | 45.40811 | 0.99512 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.6% | 185 | 177 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.0% | 356 | 318 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 352 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.3% | 1,085 | 996 | 60 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 1,068 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 27.4% | 1,396 | 1,284 | 73 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 1,375 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 36.8% | 1,877 | 1,756 | 76 | 19 | 20 | 6 | 1,851 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 50.9% | 2,598 | 2,411 | 134 | 22 | 25 | 6 | 2,567 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 60.8% | 3,103 | 2,827 | 202 | 31 | 35 | 8 | 3,060 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 71.3% | 3,640 | 3,324 | 226 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 3,590 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 76.3% | 3,895 | 3,531 | 267 | 45 | 41 | 11 | 3,843 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 81.2% | 4,143 | 3,756 | 288 | 47 | 41 | 11 | 4,091 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 95.6% | 4,880 | 4,401 | 353 | 52 | 60 | 14 | 4,806 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,104 | 4,614 | 362 | 53 | 61 | 14 | 5,029 | 25 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex