EL TABLON (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23043. 37 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8337.60919 / (1 + e^(-0.13119(t - 51.36997))) | 8337.60919 | 0.13119 | 51.36997 | 0.99866 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5234.50992 / (1 + e^(-0.12586(t - 51.76360))) | 5234.50992 | 0.12586 | 51.76360 | 0.99849 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2919.42275 / (1 + e^(-0.14187(t - 50.78119))) | 2919.42275 | 0.14187 | 50.78119 | 0.99858 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 115.19643 / (1 + e^(-0.13489(t - 52.41933))) | 115.19643 | 0.13489 | 52.41933 | 0.99860 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 52.05196 / (1 + e^(-0.13277(t - 48.60182))) | 52.05196 | 0.13277 | 48.60182 | 0.99725 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.98327 / (1 + e^(-0.13282(t - 44.40227))) | 16.98327 | 0.13282 | 44.40227 | 0.98987 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8268.54108 / (1 + e^(-0.13127(t - 51.40131))) | 8268.54108 | 0.13127 | 51.40131 | 0.99866 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 37.06478 / (1 + e^(-0.12868(t - 50.73511))) | 37.06478 | 0.12868 | 50.73511 | 0.99858 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.5% | 289 | 178 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 8.7% | 726 | 460 | 243 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 715 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 20.1% | 1,674 | 1,068 | 572 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 1,655 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 30.4% | 2,532 | 1,587 | 885 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 2,504 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 41.7% | 3,470 | 2,151 | 1,236 | 45 | 29 | 9 | 3,432 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 56.2% | 4,674 | 2,884 | 1,680 | 62 | 33 | 15 | 4,626 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 70.7% | 5,889 | 3,593 | 2,165 | 76 | 40 | 15 | 5,834 | 27 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 82.5% | 6,867 | 4,152 | 2,562 | 95 | 43 | 15 | 6,809 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.0% | 8,072 | 4,997 | 2,896 | 111 | 52 | 16 | 8,004 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.0% | 8,072 | 4,997 | 2,896 | 111 | 52 | 16 | 8,004 | 36 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,324 | 5,226 | 2,914 | 115 | 52 | 17 | 8,255 | 37 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex