EL PEÑOL (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23044. 20 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4704.81500 / (1 + e^(-0.19678(t - 50.11886))) | 4704.81500 | 0.19678 | 50.11886 | 0.99792 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3451.92172 / (1 + e^(-0.19340(t - 49.84906))) | 3451.92172 | 0.19340 | 49.84906 | 0.99784 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1132.70984 / (1 + e^(-0.20728(t - 50.95290))) | 1132.70984 | 0.20728 | 50.95290 | 0.99796 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 58.08426 / (1 + e^(-0.20181(t - 49.06965))) | 58.08426 | 0.20181 | 49.06965 | 0.99791 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 53.07354 / (1 + e^(-0.20215(t - 49.84989))) | 53.07354 | 0.20215 | 49.84989 | 0.99858 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.00779 / (1 + e^(-0.30980(t - 52.98023))) | 9.00779 | 0.30980 | 52.98023 | 0.99937 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4642.73024 / (1 + e^(-0.19659(t - 50.11534))) | 4642.73024 | 0.19659 | 50.11534 | 0.99790 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.04718 / (1 + e^(-0.15953(t - 48.42802))) | 20.04718 | 0.15953 | 48.42802 | 0.99587 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.6% | 215 | 170 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.1% | 522 | 401 | 108 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 516 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 11.1% | 522 | 401 | 108 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 516 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 21.7% | 1,021 | 807 | 187 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1,008 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 45.5% | 2,136 | 1,595 | 486 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 2,111 | 10 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 62.7% | 2,945 | 2,189 | 675 | 39 | 37 | 5 | 2,903 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 88.8% | 4,170 | 3,088 | 974 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 4,116 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,697 | 3,446 | 1,131 | 58 | 53 | 9 | 4,635 | 20 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex