EL LITORAL DEL SAN JUAN (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17038. 43 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5463.43412 / (1 + e^(-0.13702(t - 29.49317))) | 5463.43412 | 0.13702 | 29.49317 | 0.99317 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5347.13280 / (1 + e^(-0.13716(t - 29.35560))) | 5347.13280 | 0.13716 | 29.35560 | 0.99300 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 91.10615 / (1 + e^(-0.16633(t - 34.83938))) | 91.10615 | 0.16633 | 34.83938 | 0.99555 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 8.00691 / (1 + e^(-0.39262(t - 36.30204))) | 8.00691 | 0.39262 | 36.30204 | 0.99590 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.00586 / (1 + e^(-0.60017(t - 45.57805))) | 12.00586 | 0.60017 | 45.57805 | 0.98321 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00293 / (1 + e^(-0.09378(t - 26.90390))) | 5.00293 | 0.09378 | 26.90390 | 0.93131 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5446.37216 / (1 + e^(-0.13729(t - 29.46567))) | 5446.37216 | 0.13729 | 29.46567 | 0.99319 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 43.00922 / (1 + e^(-0.14190(t - 28.25114))) | 43.00922 | 0.14190 | 28.25114 | 0.99318 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.2% | 121 | 120 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 26.7% | 1,456 | 1,452 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1,453 | 12 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 38.7% | 2,114 | 2,085 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2,109 | 18 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 43.4% | 2,371 | 2,342 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2,366 | 21 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 64.2% | 3,502 | 3,456 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3,497 | 30 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 79.6% | 4,347 | 4,273 | 63 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4,342 | 35 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 84.0% | 4,583 | 4,496 | 72 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4,576 | 37 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.1% | 5,191 | 5,083 | 85 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 5,176 | 41 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,459 | 5,343 | 91 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5,442 | 43 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex