ISTMINA (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17019. 80 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 11834.14047 / (1 + e^(-0.11178(t - 57.50176))) | 11834.14047 | 0.11178 | 57.50176 | 0.99852 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 9773.40997 / (1 + e^(-0.10865(t - 56.86989))) | 9773.40997 | 0.10865 | 56.86989 | 0.99853 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1766.16975 / (1 + e^(-0.13901(t - 60.69138))) | 1766.16975 | 0.13901 | 60.69138 | 0.99848 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 115.05232 / (1 + e^(-0.10707(t - 58.24706))) | 115.05232 | 0.10707 | 58.24706 | 0.99873 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 146.42311 / (1 + e^(-0.11893(t - 56.55904))) | 146.42311 | 0.11893 | 56.55904 | 0.99624 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 32.08483 / (1 + e^(-0.10446(t - 59.86472))) | 32.08483 | 0.10446 | 59.86472 | 0.99587 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11655.68300 / (1 + e^(-0.11171(t - 57.50841))) | 11655.68300 | 0.11171 | 57.50841 | 0.99854 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 80.03673 / (1 + e^(-0.10014(t - 54.81875))) | 80.03673 | 0.10014 | 54.81875 | 0.99890 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.4% | 43 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.9% | 227 | 213 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 7.8% | 923 | 863 | 42 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 909 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 13.9% | 1,639 | 1,485 | 121 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 1,616 | 15 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 22.6% | 2,674 | 2,360 | 243 | 25 | 39 | 7 | 2,628 | 23 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 29.9% | 3,531 | 3,082 | 357 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 3,475 | 30 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 36.5% | 4,311 | 3,758 | 444 | 44 | 54 | 11 | 4,246 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 51.4% | 6,072 | 5,213 | 712 | 58 | 74 | 15 | 5,983 | 47 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 65.8% | 7,783 | 6,488 | 1,105 | 73 | 100 | 17 | 7,666 | 56 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 77.6% | 9,178 | 7,663 | 1,288 | 84 | 122 | 21 | 9,035 | 63 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 92.6% | 10,949 | 9,035 | 1,641 | 102 | 142 | 29 | 10,778 | 74 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 93.9% | 11,097 | 9,161 | 1,659 | 105 | 143 | 29 | 10,925 | 75 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.6% | 11,304 | 9,330 | 1,691 | 108 | 145 | 30 | 11,129 | 76 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 97.3% | 11,497 | 9,453 | 1,756 | 110 | 146 | 32 | 11,319 | 77 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 98.0% | 11,585 | 9,540 | 1,756 | 111 | 146 | 32 | 11,407 | 78 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 99.4% | 11,746 | 9,689 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,568 | 79 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 99.4% | 11,746 | 9,689 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,568 | 79 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,822 | 9,765 | 1,764 | 115 | 146 | 32 | 11,644 | 80 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex