EL CARMEN (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17016. 23 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4441.88491 / (1 + e^(-0.16250(t - 43.69942))) | 4441.88491 | 0.16250 | 43.69942 | 0.99642 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1802.67638 / (1 + e^(-0.18113(t - 43.85042))) | 1802.67638 | 0.18113 | 43.85042 | 0.99640 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2524.00336 / (1 + e^(-0.15147(t - 43.58348))) | 2524.00336 | 0.15147 | 43.58348 | 0.99609 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 60.13775 / (1 + e^(-0.15475(t - 43.17223))) | 60.13775 | 0.15475 | 43.17223 | 0.99603 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 46.10443 / (1 + e^(-0.16987(t - 44.67526))) | 46.10443 | 0.16987 | 44.67526 | 0.99556 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.93981 / (1 + e^(-0.55555(t - 42.15318))) | 8.93981 | 0.55555 | 42.15318 | 0.98692 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4386.78881 / (1 + e^(-0.16229(t - 43.68844))) | 4386.78881 | 0.16229 | 43.68844 | 0.99640 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.06291 / (1 + e^(-0.14115(t - 42.24438))) | 23.06291 | 0.14115 | 42.24438 | 0.99379 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.8% | 256 | 97 | 154 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.7% | 695 | 244 | 434 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 688 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.2% | 897 | 308 | 569 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 890 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 29.6% | 1,313 | 496 | 782 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 1,299 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 49.3% | 2,186 | 884 | 1,244 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2,158 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 63.9% | 2,830 | 1,173 | 1,585 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 2,796 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.4% | 3,963 | 1,697 | 2,164 | 54 | 41 | 7 | 3,915 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,432 | 1,799 | 2,518 | 60 | 46 | 9 | 4,377 | 23 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex